| Issue |
SHS Web Conf.
Volume 62, 2019
17th International Scientific Conference “Problems of Enterprise Development: Theory and Practice” 2018
|
|
|---|---|---|
| Article Number | 05003 | |
| Number of page(s) | 6 | |
| Section | Problems of the Methodology of Statistical Research of Business Processes | |
| DOI | https://doi.org/10.1051/shsconf/20196205003 | |
| Published online | 15 March 2019 | |
Statistical Analysis of House Construction Capacity Dynamics in ex-USSR Countries
1
Samara State University of Economics, Samara, Russia
2
Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation, Russia, Moscow
3
Orenburg State University, Russia, Orenburg
* Corresponding author: zipin@yandex.ru
The relevance of the article is explained by the necessity of building more precise forecasts of developing socio-economic phenomena characterizing complex dynamics. The goal lies in analyzing the dynamics of launching of residential units in the post-Soviet countries and building a forecast with the account of the retrospective path movement of the indicator. The appliance of the “changing the growth (fall)” econometric model in the studied time-series has allowed to predict in a more precise way their path movement. The significance of the obtained results both for econometrics and residential property market economy are apparent and lie in mastering the methodology of building complex socio-economic phenomena, among which is the launching of residential units in the post-Soviet countries.
Key words: dynamics / housing / historical time-series / periodization / forecasting / econometric modeling.
© The Authors, published by EDP Sciences, 2019
This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
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